Afternoon update March 6th


The storm off the Virginia coast is moving very slowly offshore and although we didn’t receive any snow yet with the system we have had the winds especially this morning gusting to above 45 mph. The only precipitation so far was in the form of rain and it was scattered. Coastal flooding has occurred along the New Jersey coast. We are not out of the woods yet, some snow is expected after 9pm tonight and there may be a coating in some spots by Thursday morning. Some light snow during the day on Thursday but most of that will accumulate only on cold surfaces. The most snowfall should fall Thursday night into Friday morning due to a colder northerly flow from the slow moving storm system offshore with an additional 1-3 inches possible. Gusty winds to at least 40 mph through Thursday night. At least the weekend still looks very springlike with temperatures in the 50s with plenty of sunshine.

Strong coastal storm to affect our area through Friday morning!


The coastal storm is intensifying off the Virginia coast and winds have already picked up gusting to 25mph, temperatures right now are in the upper 30s. A very tricky forecast as far as snow amounts are concerned but I will give it my best guess. A mix of rain and snow will develop mostly after 12 noon that will change to all snow around 6PM, about a 1/2 inch of snow may be on the ground by evening. The snow will continue tonight into Thursday morning with an additional 3 inches by Thursday morning.
The snow will taper off by noon on Thursday but light snow mixed with rain may linger into Thursday evening with another 1/2″ falling.. This storm will be slow moving and we still may have some light snow into Friday morning with another inch or two before ending. Total accumulation through Friday morning will be 3-6 inches however as I said it is a tricky forecast. One thing is for certain that we will have strong winds gusting to 35 MPH through Thursday night and their will be coastal flooding.
On the bright side once this storm moves away we will have a rather nice and mild spring-type weather with plenty of sunshine and temperatures 50 degrees or higher.
Mild weather will continue into early next week but there will be a chance of showers Monday night.

The forecast: Today – Rain and snow developing mostly after noon changing to snow around 5PM, 1/2″ of accumulation by evening, high near 40. Wind gusts to 30 MPH.
Tonight – Snow, accumulating 1-3 inches by morning, wind gusts to 35 MPH, low in the low 30s.
Thursday – Snow in the morning, with a chance of rain or snow in the afternoon, another 1/2″ of snow possible, high near 40, wind gusts to 35 MPH.
Thursday night – Cloudy with a chance of snow, low in the low 30s.
Friday – Chance of snow ending by noon, another 1-2″ possible, high in the low 40s.
Saturday – Sunny, high near 50.
Sunday – Mostly sunny, high in the low 50s.
Monday – Mostly cloudy, chance of a shower in the evening, high in the low 50s.
Tuesday – Partly sunny, high near 50.

Marine Forecast: Storm warning from 11am today through Thursday afternoon.
Northeast wind becoming north gusting to 50 knots, seas rising to 17 feet by Thursday.
Outlook. Small craft advisory likely will continue into Saturday morning before lowering to below advisory levels Saturday afternoon continuing into Sunday.

Have a good day and stay safe!

Calm before the storm!


This morning temperatures at daybreak are mostly in the upper 20s with mostly clear skies.
During the day today it will feel much more comfortable than the last couple of days as we will have plenty of sunshine and much lighter winds and temperatures a few degrees higher.
The well advertized storm will start to affect our area toward Wednesday morning with precipitation beginning after the morning rush, most areas will have mainly light rain mixed with snow during the day. By evening colder air and strong winds will occur changing the precipitation to all snow, the computer models are still not coming together on how much snow we will receive Wednesday night into Thursday morning but my best guess now is around 4 inches. On Thursday snow in the morning may change to light rain in the afternoon. We lowered temperatures for Friday as the storm will be slow to move offshore and there is still a chance of light rain or snow.
Milder and dry Saturday through Monday with most high temperatures 50 degrees or a little above along with plenty of sunshine.

The forecast: Today – Mostly sunny, high in the upper 40s
Tonight – Becoming cloudy, low in the low 30s.
Wednesday – Cloudy with mix rain and snow mostly after 9am, high near 40.
Wednesday night – Snow likely with strong winds gusting to 35mph, accumulations around 4 inches, low near 30.
Thursday – Mostly cloudy, chance of morning snow and afternoon rain, high in the low 40s.
Friday – Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow, high in the low 40s.
Saturday – Mostly sunny, high near 50.
Sunday – Partly sunny, high in the low 50s.
Monday – Mostly sunny, high in the low 50s.

Marine Forecast: Today – Northwest winds gusting to 25 knots early this morning, diminishing to 10 knots by evening and becoming northeast.
Outlook – Storm warnings may be needed Wednesday into Thursday. Small craft advisory likely for Friday but drop below advisory levels on the weekend.

Have a nice day!

Evening update – Accumulating snows becoming more likely Wednesday into Thursday!


Most of the computer models now have this storm to be further north than were indicated the last few days. Heavy wet snow along with strong winds and coastal flooding is becoming more likely with the heaviest snow falling late Wednesday into early Thursday morning… The European model is still the only holdout giving us only a glancing blow, this model nailed the track of Sandy but most of this winter has not performed as well as the other models.. More details with possible accumulations will be in my update tomorrow…

Stay tuned!!

Chilly weather to continue as we March fourth!


This morning we are waking up to mostly cloudy skies with temperatures in the upper 20s, during the day we will have partial sunshine but temperatures still on the chilly side with a brisk wind.
Tuesday will be the calm before the potential storm with plenty of sunshine and temperatures a few degrees higher.
I thought by this morning the computer models would be in better agreement but that is not the case with the American model (GFS) having the storm further north which would give our area a few inches of snow but the European model (ECMWF) still has the storm further south with little if any precipitation falling in our area, so again stay tuned for further updates. In either case it will be cool and windy for Wednesday and Thursday.
Milder Friday into the weekend with plenty of sunshine.

The forecast: Today – Partly sunny, high in low 40s.
Tonight – Mostly cloudy, low in the upper 20s.
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, high in the upper 40s, increasing clouds at night.
Wednesday – Cloudy with a chance or snow or rain, windy, high in the low 40s.
Thursday – Becoming partly sunny, windy, high in the low 40s.
Friday – Mostly sunny, high in the upper 40s.
Saturday – Mostly sunny, high in the low 50s.
Sunday – Partly sunny, high near 50.

Marine Forecast: Small craft advisory through late tonight – northwest winds gusting to 30 knots, seas up to 5 feet.
Outlook – Gale warnings likely Wednesday into Thursday due to the coastal storm. Small craft advisory still may be needed on Friday!

Enjoy marching fourth!