Big forecast bust for New Jersey, no blizzard with only moderate snowfall amounts!


At 6am we have light snow falling in the Clifton area, temperatures are in the upper teens, winds are from the north gusting to 20 mph, accumulation of snow is around 5 inches.

Well it appears that the American model (GFS) was more correct than the trusted European as the worst part of the storm will end up about 100 miles east of what was indicated by that European model and most forecasters, me included, maybe we should of used the “shower curtain” model.   However there was an intense storm but most of the real heavy snowfall is over Eastern Long Island and Eastern New England where accumulations will be over two feet.

Today we will have periods of mainly light snow with additional accumulations of around three inches, less to our west and more to our east.  The snow will taper off later this afternoon and end this evening, temperatures will be cold and winds will continue from the north gusting to 30 mph.

Wednesday will be dry with quite cold temperatures.

A weak storm system will likely give us some light snow Thursday afternoon into early Friday morning with an inch or two of accumulation, sunshine returns Friday afternoon

At this time the weekend looks dry and cold.

Another possible storm may affect the area on Monday.

 

THE FORECAST:

TODAY – Snow with some blowing snow, windy with gusts to 30 mph, highs in the upper 20s, additional accumulation of around 3 inches.

TONIGHT – Light snow ending, low in the upper 20s.

WEDNESDAY – Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly sunny, high in the upper 20s.

THURSDAY – Increasing clouds with snow likely in the afternoon and evening, accumulations 1-2 inches, high in the low 30s.

FRIDAY – Chance of morning light snow then becoming mostly sunny, high in the low 30s.

SATURDAY – Mostly sunny and quite cold, high in the low 20s.

SUNDAY – Partly sunny, high in the upper 20s.

MONDAY – Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow, high near 30.

 

MARINE FORECAST:  Gale warnings are in effect for northwest winds gusting to 40 knots, seas 9-14.

OUTLOOK – Small craft advisory likely on Wednesday with no advisories expected Wednesday night and Thursday, gales possible on Friday.

 

Have a good day!

 

Blizzard! Worst part of the storm tonight into tomorrow morning! Expect 18-24 inches!


Very light snow has begun in the area, temperatures have fallen to the teens, there is a dusting of accumulation, winds are out of the northeast around 10 mph.

During the day today we will generally have just light snow with 1-3 inches of accumulation expected.

By this evening the nor’easter will rapidly intensify and snow will become very heavy at times that will continue into Tuesday morning, winds will increase from the northeast to 40 mph which will cause blizzard conditions, there is even a chance of thunder and lightning, expect an average of 18-24 inches of snow by Tuesday noontime, less to the west of the Clifton area where “only” a foot will fall, some area under intense banding may have over two feet of snow.

The storm will gradually weaken Tuesday afternoon with snow tapering off in the afternoon and ending Tuesday evening.

Sunshine returns for Wednesday with cold temperatures

A much weaker storm is likely to affect the area Thursday afternoon into Friday morning with another 1-3 inches possible.

Dry and cold for the weekend.

Frigid most of next week so the snow will stay on the ground maybe till March.

 

THE FORECAST:

TODAY – Light snow, accumulations of 1-3 inches, high in the upper 20s.

TONIGHT – Snow, heavy at times with a chance of thunderstorms, very windy with blizzard conditions, accumulations 8-12 inches by daybreak.

TUESDAY – Snow, heavy at times with a chance of thunderstorms in the morning, very windy with blizzard conditions, snow tapering off in the afternoon and ending in the evening, additional accumulations of 8-12 inches expected.

WEDNESDAY – Mostly sunny, high near 30.

THURSDAY – Increasing cloudiness with snow likely in the afternoon and at night, high near 30.

FRIDAY – Chance of light snow in the morning then becoming partly sunny, high in the mid 30s.

SATURDAY – Mostly sunny, high in the mid 20s.

SUNDAY – Partly sunny, high in the upper 20.

 

MARINE FORECAST:  Storm warning in effect till 6pm on Tuesday for north winds gusting to 55 knots, seas 11-16 feet.

OUTLOOK – Gale warnings Tuesday night, small craft advisory on Wednesday, no advisories Wednesday night and Thursday with small craft advisories possible on Friday.

 

Everyone please stay safe and try to have a good day!

 

 

 

Good day today to get your milk and bread! Historic blizzard becoming more likely for Monday night into Tuesday!


At 6am we have partly cloudy skies in the area, temperatures range from the low 30s in Clifton to the upper 20s further inland, winds are from the west 5-10 mph.

Today will be a rather nice day with plenty of sunshine and high temperatures near the 40 degree mark.

Clouds will increase tonight with light snow beginning after midnight, colder temperatures can be expected with a low around 20.

Mainly just light snow during the day on Monday with an inch or two accumulating by evening.

The fun begins Monday night as a coastal storm rapidly intensifies off our coast and slowly moves up the coast, expect snow very heavy at time Monday night through Tuesday evening and with winds gusting to 40 mph blizzard or near blizzard conditions can be expected.   At the present time the American model is indicating around 18 inches of snow for our area while the European model is showing an unbelieveable 36 inches, as of now I think 18-24 inches of windswept snow is likely.

Sunshine returns on Wednesday as we dig out with cold temperatures.

Slightly milder Thursday and Friday but we may have some light snow Thursday night.

At this time the weekend looks to be cold and dry.

 

THE FORECAST:

TODAY – Mostly sunny, high near 40.

TONIGHT – Becoming cloudy with light snow developing after midnight, low around 20.

MONDAY – Light snow, accumulations 1-2 inches by evening, high in the upper 20s.

MONDAY NIGHT – Snow, very heavy at times with near blizzard conditions, low around 20.

TUESDAY – Snow, very heavy at times with blizzard conditions possible, winds gusting to 40 mph, high in the upper 20s, snow tapering off in the evening, total accumulations 18-24 inches possible.

WEDNESDAY – Mostly sunny, high in the upper 20s.

THURSDAY – Partly sunny, high in the low 30s, chance of snow at night.

FRIDAY – Partly sunny, high in the mid 30s.

SATURDAY – Partly sunny, high in the upper 20s.

 

MARINE FORECAST:  Small craft advisory in effect till 1pm for west winds gusting to 25 mph, seas 2-3 feet.

Storm watch in effect from Monday afternoon into Tuesday.

OUTLOOK – Small craft advisory likely will be needed Tuesday night through Thursday.

 

Have a good day!

Snow this morning mixing with sleet and rain! Nice Sunday! More snow on Monday?


Early this morning we have snow mixed with a little sleet, at 6am 5.5 inches of snow has fallen in Clifton, temperatures range from the low 30s in Clifton to the upper 20s further inland, winds are nearly calm.

Snow mixed with rain and sleet will continue this morning with another 1-2 of accumulation, this afternoon we should only see some freezing drizzle mixed with light snow which will end by this evening.

Sunday will be a mostly sunny day with seasonable temperatures.

Another potentially stronger storm will be moving offshore on Monday, at this time most of the snow will be just to our south and east but this will be a close call and needs to be closely watched, areas to the south and east of the Clifton area has the highest chance of a quite significant snow, at this time we will only forecast a chance of light snow.  It will be colder so if we do receive any accumulation the snow will be more fluffy unlike the heavier wet snow that has fallen today.

Dry and very cold Tuesday and Wednesday.

Not as cold Thursday and Friday and we may see some light snow on Thursday night.

 

THE FORECAST:

TODAY – Snow mixed with sleet and rain tapering off later this morning, additional accumulations of 1-2 inches expected, high in the mid 30s.

TONIGHT – Mostly cloudy, low in the upper 20s.

SUNDAY – Mostly sunny, high in the mid 30s.

MONDAY – Cloudy with a chance of snow, high in the upper 20s.

TUESDAY – Partly sunny, high in the mid 20s.

WEDNESDAY – Sunny, high in the upper 20s.

THURSDAY – Partly sunny, high in the low 30s, chance of light snow at night.

FRIDAY – Partly sunny, high in the mid 30s.

 

MARINE FORECAST:  Small craft advisory in effect until 10 am on Sunday for northeast winds becoming northwest to 30 knots, seas 5-8 feet.

OUTLOOK – No advisories for Sunday afternoon and evening.  Advisories likely Monday through Wednesday with possible gales Monday and Monday night.

 

Have a good day!

 

 

Pleasant weather today with snow after midnight, winter mix on Saturday! Another storm on Monday!


The area has clear skies early this morning and temperatures range from the low 20s in the Clifton area to the teens further inland, winds are light.

Today will be a rather nice winter day with plenty of sunshine, light winds and high temperatures around the 40 degree mark.

Skies will become cloudy tonight with snow arriving shortly after midnight, the snow will continue Saturday morning and then mix with sleet and rain, total accumulations should be around 3-5 inches with the precipitation ending in the evening.

Sunshine will return on Sunday with near normal temperatures, with highs in the upper 30s.

Another storm will be moving up the coast on Monday, the computer models with this system are not in agreement yet with most guidance showing only a minor event while the American model indicates a more significant event.  The temperatures will be colder so any precipitation will fall as snow.  The timing of the event is pretty similar to Saturday’s storm with snow beginning before daybreak and ending by evening.

Much colder air will follow the storm for Tuesday and Wednesday with a slight moderation in temperatures on Thursday, dry conditions will prevail.

 

THE FORECAST:

TODAY – Sunny, high near 40.

TONIGHT – Becoming cloudy, with snow after midnight, low in the upper 20s.

SATURDAY – Snow mixing with sleet and rain ending in the evening, highs in the mid 30s, possible accumulations 3-5 inches.

SUNDAY – Partly sunny, high in the upper 30s.

MONDAY – Cloudy with a good chance of snow, high in the upper 20s.

TUESDAY – Mostly sunny and very cold, high in the low 20s.

WEDNESDAY – Mostly sunny, high in the mid 20s.

THURSDAY – Partly sunny, high in the low 30s.

 

MARINE FORECAST: TODAY – Southwest wind to 8 knots, seas 1 foot.

Small craft advisory will be effect from 4am on Saturday till 10am on Sunday.

OUTLOOK – Advisories possible through Tuesday!

 

I have now completed three years of doing this blog, i want to thank Doreen at PSE&G for the idea of the blog, my son Jared who set it all up and also a big thank you to my loyal followers.

 

Have a good day!